Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Hintz 52.6% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 57.6%
Defensive zone
Barkov 75.5%
Neutral zone
Hintz 52.5%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Barkov
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Barkov
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Barkov
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Hintz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
52.9% (526)
+4.1%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
57.4% (108)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
42.5% (40)
+5.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Hintz is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Barkov
Hintz
Home
59.2% (557)
53.8% (329)
Away
55.1% (695)
52.2% (345)
By Period
Barkov
Hintz
P1
56.7%
55.6%
P2
54.8%
53.0%
P3
59.7%
51.7%
OT
55.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
59.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 01:19 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |