Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.4% vs Colton 49.0% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 56.8%
Defensive zone
Colton 63.9%
Neutral zone
Colton 59.1%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Barkov
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barkov
Colton
Last 5: Barkov 2-3 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Barkov
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Barkov
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (724)
49.2% (199)
+3.8%
Power Play
62.6% (235)
33.3% (9)
+29.3%
On power play, Barkov has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Barkov is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (678).
Barkov shoots left. Colton is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Barkov
Colton
Home
56.1% (522)
46.3% (121)
Away
53.6% (504)
51.7% (87)
By Period
Barkov
Colton
P1
52.3%
56.2%
P2
56.8%
46.8%
P3
55.3%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 11:05 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Ross Colton |