Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Colton on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Colton 51.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 78.1%
Defensive zone
Colton 71.1%
Neutral zone
Colton 71.7%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 74.2%
25.8%
74.2%
Barkov
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Barkov
Colton
Last 7: Barkov 1-6 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
2
Barkov
Colton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
3
Barkov
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Barkov
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
52.7% (524)
+4.3%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
50.9% (53)
+12.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
0.0% (4)
+48.3%
On penalty kill, Barkov has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. Colton is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Barkov
Colton
Home
59.2% (557)
52.9% (291)
Away
55.1% (695)
51.4% (290)
By Period
Barkov
Colton
P1
56.7%
50.6%
P2
54.8%
54.4%
P3
59.7%
51.6%
OT
55.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Ross Colton |