Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Colton 45.2% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 52.9%
Defensive zone
Barkov 56.6%
Neutral zone
Colton 54.1%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Barkov
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Barkov
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Barkov
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
41.3% (75)
+14.2%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
35.3% (17)
+27.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
40.0% (5)
+6.7%
On power play, Barkov has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Colton is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Barkov
Colton
Home
56.4% (550)
42.9% (49)
Away
56.7% (476)
37.5% (48)
By Period
Barkov
Colton
P1
56.5%
48.9%
P2
55.5%
33.3%
P3
57.9%
31.8%
Final 5 min
58.7%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Ross Colton |