Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Colton 54.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 51.4%
Defensive zone
Colton 50.3%
Neutral zone
Colton 53.6%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Barkov
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barkov
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Barkov
Colton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
56.1% (173)
-3.0%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
56.3% (16)
+7.1%
On power play, Barkov has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Barkov is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Barkov shoots left. Colton is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Barkov
Colton
Home
58.1% (627)
55.3% (94)
Away
52.1% (705)
56.8% (95)
By Period
Barkov
Colton
P1
53.3%
48.1%
P2
55.0%
62.5%
P3
56.0%
57.1%
OT
60.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Ross Colton |