Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Colton 51.4% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 68.2%
Defensive zone
Colton 72.0%
Neutral zone
Colton 56.1%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Barkov
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Barkov
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barkov
Colton
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
52.1% (741)
+4.8%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
48.3% (60)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
42.1% (19)
+3.1%
On power play, Barkov has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Barkov
Colton
Home
57.4% (540)
54.0% (411)
Away
57.1% (560)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Barkov
Colton
P1
57.6%
56.7%
P2
56.6%
53.1%
P3
56.9%
46.3%
OT
72.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |