Aleksander Barkov vs Ryan O'Reilly
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 17 meetings). Barkov wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.5% vs O'Reilly 56.5% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 22-13 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 73.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 71.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 72.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 71.9%
28.1%
71.9%
Barkov
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
13
(35 meetings)
22
13
Barkov
O'Reilly
Last 10: Barkov 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
6
3
Barkov
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
12
5
Barkov
O'Reilly
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
5
Barkov
O'Reilly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (1,377)
57.1% (1,367)
-2.6%
Power Play
54.7% (340)
59.4% (286)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (222)
52.5% (257)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Barkov is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,222).
Barkov shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,201).
Home / Away
Barkov
O'Reilly
Home
54.5% (948)
59.2% (936)
Away
52.9% (991)
54.6% (974)
By Period
Barkov
O'Reilly
P1
55.2%
57.3%
P2
54.2%
57.5%
P3
52.3%
55.0%
OT
43.8%
71.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 19:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 10:27 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:36 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 13:55 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 09:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 03:27 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |