Aleksander Barkov vs Ryan O'Reilly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 59.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Barkov
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
55.0% (1,084)
+1.9%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
56.8% (303)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
40.3% (149)
+4.9%
On power play, Barkov has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Barkov is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Barkov shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Barkov
O'Reilly
Home
57.4% (540)
54.8% (759)
Away
57.1% (560)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Barkov
O'Reilly
P1
57.6%
55.3%
P2
56.6%
51.9%
P3
56.9%
54.2%
OT
72.2%
64.7%
Final 5 min
57.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%