Aleksander Barkov vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (61% H2H, 49 meetings). Barkov wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 81-75 in 156 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 62.8%
Defensive zone
Barkov 56.1%
Neutral zone
Barkov 57.3%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Barkov
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
75
-
81
(156 meetings)
75
81
Barkov
O'Reilly
Last 10: Barkov 1-9 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
26
23
Barkov
O'Reilly
49 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
30
28
Barkov
O'Reilly
58 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
19
30
Barkov
O'Reilly
49 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
56.2% (15,260)
-3.8%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
58.8% (3,445)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
51.4% (2,811)
-3.6%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Barkov is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,144).
Barkov shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Barkov
O'Reilly
Home
53.8% (7,227)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Barkov
O'Reilly
P1
52.7%
55.6%
P2
53.4%
57.0%
P3
52.9%
55.1%
OT
53.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |