Aleksander Barkov vs Ryan O'Reilly
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.8%). Look for Barkov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barkov wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 55.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 66.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Barkov
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Barkov
O'Reilly
Last 7: Barkov 5-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
1
Barkov
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
56.6% (1,064)
+0.4%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
60.4% (260)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (172)
54.0% (261)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Barkov is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (719).
Barkov shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Barkov
O'Reilly
Home
59.2% (557)
54.9% (801)
Away
55.1% (695)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Barkov
O'Reilly
P1
56.7%
58.0%
P2
54.8%
56.7%
P3
59.7%
55.4%
OT
55.6%
64.7%
Final 5 min
59.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 08:51 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 14:01 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |