Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Carrick 49.5% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Barkov 73.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 74.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 58.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Barkov
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
49.2% (307)
+3.9%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
66.7% (6)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
48.2% (56)
+2.6%
On even strength, Barkov has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Barkov is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Barkov shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Barkov
Carrick
Home
58.1% (627)
50.3% (175)
Away
52.1% (705)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Barkov
Carrick
P1
53.3%
41.0%
P2
55.0%
51.2%
P3
56.0%
55.3%
Final 5 min
55.5%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%