Aleksander Barkov vs Sam Carrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.2%). Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 53.0% vs Carrick 52.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 84.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 69.0%
Neutral zone
Barkov 54.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Barkov
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Barkov
Carrick
Last 10: Barkov 7-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
6
0
Barkov
Carrick
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
3
Barkov
Carrick
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (10,680)
52.1% (2,513)
+0.3%
Power Play
58.1% (2,623)
61.3% (75)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (1,272)
50.7% (430)
-2.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Barkov is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,431).
Barkov shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Barkov
Carrick
Home
53.8% (7,227)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
52.2% (7,348)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Barkov
Carrick
P1
52.7%
51.8%
P2
53.4%
52.2%
P3
52.9%
52.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
53.0%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |