Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 59.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.7% vs Carrick 53.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 75.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 82.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 57.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Barkov
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Barkov
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Barkov
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (740)
53.9% (521)
+3.0%
Power Play
63.3% (256)
57.1% (35)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (104)
51.5% (229)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Barkov is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Barkov shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Barkov
Carrick
Home
57.4% (540)
52.7% (408)
Away
57.1% (560)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Barkov
Carrick
P1
57.6%
51.4%
P2
56.6%
56.6%
P3
56.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
57.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
57.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |