Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Carrick 53.7% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 84.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 80.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 59.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Barkov
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Barkov
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
1
0
Barkov
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
53.8% (654)
+1.7%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
0.0% (2)
+62.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
63.9% (36)
-17.2%
On power play, Barkov has a +62.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Barkov is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Barkov shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Barkov
Carrick
Home
56.4% (550)
50.0% (328)
Away
56.7% (476)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Barkov
Carrick
P1
56.5%
56.7%
P2
55.5%
51.1%
P3
57.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
58.7%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2024 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |