Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.4% vs Jarvis 48.8% (+12.9%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 58.8%
Defensive zone
Barkov 62.1%
Neutral zone
Jarvis 53.7%
Result
Seth Jarvis favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Barkov
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (870)
45.8% (24)
+11.2%
Power Play
63.8% (210)
0.0% (1)
+63.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +63.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Barkov is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (533).
Barkov shoots left. Jarvis is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Barkov
Jarvis
Home
59.2% (557)
27.3% (11)
Away
55.1% (695)
57.1% (14)
By Period
Barkov
Jarvis
P1
56.7%
58.3%
P2
54.8%
50.0%
P3
59.7%
14.3%
Final 5 min
59.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.0%