Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +20.3% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 54.5% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+20.3%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 59.5%
Defensive zone
Barkov 62.2%
Neutral zone
Barkov 52.6%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Barkov
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (863)
37.5% (24)
+15.6%
Power Play
63.4% (276)
0.0% (1)
+63.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (193)
0.0% (1)
+50.8%
On power play, Barkov has a +63.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Barkov is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Barkov shoots left. Jarvis is 26.3% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Barkov
Jarvis
Home
58.1% (627)
38.5% (13)
Away
52.1% (705)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Barkov
Jarvis
P1
53.3%
40.0%
P2
55.0%
20.0%
P3
56.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
54.9%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.6%