Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +22.3% FO% edge overall. Barkov wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Jarvis 40.5% (+22.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 88.8%
Defensive zone
Barkov 93.6%
Neutral zone
Barkov 82.4%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Barkov
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Barkov
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Jarvis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
2
0
Barkov
Jarvis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
32.1% (81)
+23.4%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
38.6% (57)
+23.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
28.6% (14)
+18.1%
On power play, Barkov has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Barkov is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Barkov shoots left. Jarvis is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Barkov
Jarvis
Home
56.4% (550)
40.6% (69)
Away
56.7% (476)
28.9% (83)
By Period
Barkov
Jarvis
P1
56.5%
30.9%
P2
55.5%
30.6%
P3
57.9%
47.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
28.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |