Scouting Report
Alex DeBrincat holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
DeBrincat 50.4% vs Noesen 49.5% (+3.5%)
Offensive zone
Noesen 62.5%
Defensive zone
DeBrincat 54.0%
Neutral zone
Noesen 52.4%
Result
Stefan Noesen favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
DeBrincat
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
DeBrincat
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (18)
49.2% (59)
+0.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (48)
+50.0%
On power play, DeBrincat has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. DeBrincat is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (6).
DeBrincat shoots right. Noesen is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Home / Away
DeBrincat
Noesen
Home
50.0% (8)
46.5% (71)
Away
54.5% (11)
54.1% (37)
By Period
DeBrincat
Noesen
P1
66.7%
50.0%
P2
37.5%
47.1%
P3
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
100.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
DeBrincat
38.0%▼
43.5%
52.6%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.1%