Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.1% vs 42.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
DeBrincat 47.8% vs Noesen 45.9% (-0.1%)
Offensive zone
Noesen 59.3%
Defensive zone
DeBrincat 51.2%
Neutral zone
Noesen 52.6%
Result
Stefan Noesen favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
DeBrincat
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
DeBrincat
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (29)
41.1% (95)
+10.6%
Power Play
11.1% (9)
46.2% (13)
-35.1%
On power play, Noesen has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. DeBrincat is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (13).
DeBrincat shoots right. Noesen is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
DeBrincat
Noesen
Home
27.8% (18)
36.2% (58)
Away
55.0% (20)
49.0% (51)
By Period
DeBrincat
Noesen
P1
44.4%
35.6%
P2
30.8%
48.3%
P3
57.1%
45.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
DeBrincat
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.1%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
42.2%