Scouting Report
Stefan Noesen holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
DeBrincat 48.1% vs Noesen 49.2% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
DeBrincat 50.6%
Defensive zone
Noesen 53.7%
Neutral zone
Noesen 50.5%
Result
Stefan Noesen favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
DeBrincat
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
DeBrincat
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (42)
48.3% (60)
-3.1%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
38.9% (18)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
71.4% (7)
-71.4%
On penalty kill, Noesen has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. DeBrincat is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (17).
DeBrincat shoots right. Noesen is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
DeBrincat
Noesen
Home
40.0% (30)
57.6% (33)
Away
50.0% (28)
42.3% (52)
By Period
DeBrincat
Noesen
P1
44.4%
37.9%
P2
66.7%
50.0%
P3
26.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
44.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
DeBrincat
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.8%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%