Scouting Report
Stefan Noesen holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
DeBrincat 45.9% vs Noesen 49.6% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
Noesen 52.3%
Defensive zone
Noesen 51.9%
Neutral zone
DeBrincat 57.3%
Result
Alex DeBrincat favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
DeBrincat
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
DeBrincat
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (34)
64.3% (14)
-29.0%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
36.8% (19)
+4.9%
On even strength, Noesen has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. DeBrincat is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (16).
DeBrincat shoots right. Noesen is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
DeBrincat
Noesen
Home
47.8% (23)
42.9% (14)
Away
26.1% (23)
52.6% (19)
By Period
DeBrincat
Noesen
P1
42.1%
35.7%
P2
36.4%
50.0%
P3
33.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
20.0%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
DeBrincat
38.0%▼
43.5%
37.0%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.5%