Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.3% vs 42.7%). Iafallo wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iafallo 48.5% vs Novak 44.9% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Novak 67.5%
Defensive zone
Novak 53.6%
Neutral zone
Novak 54.6%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Iafallo
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iafallo
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (26)
41.7% (206)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Iafallo is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Iafallo shoots left. Novak is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Iafallo
Novak
Home
38.1% (21)
44.9% (118)
Away
55.6% (9)
40.2% (107)
By Period
Iafallo
Novak
P1
35.7%
41.5%
P2
54.5%
44.0%
P3
40.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iafallo
48.0%▲
42.0%
43.3%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%