Scouting Report
Alex Iafallo holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iafallo 50.4% vs Novak 45.6% (+9.3%)
Offensive zone
Iafallo 53.5%
Defensive zone
Novak 70.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.3%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Iafallo
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iafallo
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (12)
43.8% (384)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
100.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Iafallo has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Iafallo is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (6).
Iafallo shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Iafallo
Novak
Home
50.0% (6)
46.5% (202)
Away
57.1% (7)
42.5% (200)
By Period
Iafallo
Novak
P1
66.7%
49.2%
P2
66.7%
44.2%
P3
42.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
100.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iafallo
48.0%▲
42.0%
53.8%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
44.5%