Scouting Report
Alex Iafallo holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iafallo 48.9% vs Novak 43.4% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 67.4%
Defensive zone
Iafallo 50.6%
Neutral zone
Novak 55.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Iafallo
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iafallo
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (29)
41.4% (379)
+3.4%
On even strength, Iafallo has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Iafallo is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Iafallo shoots left. Novak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Iafallo
Novak
Home
39.1% (23)
42.6% (195)
Away
60.0% (10)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Iafallo
Novak
P1
35.7%
42.4%
P2
53.8%
39.2%
P3
50.0%
44.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iafallo
46.0%▲
41.5%
45.5%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
41.8%