Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.9% vs 42.9%). Iafallo wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iafallo 45.2% vs Novak 43.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 64.6%
Defensive zone
Novak 51.7%
Neutral zone
Novak 58.4%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Iafallo
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Iafallo
Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
1
Iafallo
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iafallo
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (177)
42.1% (1,539)
-1.4%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
51.9% (133)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (27)
50.0% (2)
-1.9%
On power play, Iafallo has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Iafallo is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Iafallo shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,078).
Home / Away
Iafallo
Novak
Home
45.4% (108)
45.3% (814)
Away
40.4% (104)
40.6% (860)
By Period
Iafallo
Novak
P1
40.7%
43.9%
P2
45.8%
42.8%
P3
41.5%
41.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.2%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iafallo
46.0%▲
41.5%
42.9%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |