Scouting Report
Alex Iafallo holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iafallo 49.6% vs Novak 45.0% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Novak 59.4%
Defensive zone
Novak 50.4%
Neutral zone
Novak 58.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Iafallo
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iafallo
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (16)
42.9% (198)
-5.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
40.9% (22)
+25.8%
On power play, Iafallo has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Iafallo is 28.6% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Iafallo shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Iafallo
Novak
Home
69.2% (13)
40.9% (110)
Away
25.0% (12)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Iafallo
Novak
P1
40.0%
39.1%
P2
50.0%
43.9%
P3
57.1%
44.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iafallo
48.0%▲
42.0%
48.0%
Novak
44.0%▬
43.0%
42.7%