Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 44.9% vs Matthews 58.8% (-17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 72.1%
Defensive zone
Newhook 61.8%
Neutral zone
Newhook 64.7%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Newhook
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Newhook
Matthews
Last 6: Newhook 2-4 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Matthews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
2
Newhook
Matthews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
2
Newhook
Matthews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
59.8% (848)
-18.2%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
64.9% (37)
-44.9%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
56.3% (87)
-1.8%
On power play, Matthews has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Newhook is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Newhook shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Newhook
Matthews
Home
44.1% (93)
60.0% (520)
Away
38.9% (72)
59.3% (452)
By Period
Newhook
Matthews
P1
36.0%
60.2%
P2
37.9%
58.2%
P3
52.1%
60.4%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
35.1%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:06 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:55 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |