Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Matthews 56.3% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 73.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 71.3%
Neutral zone
Newhook 57.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Newhook
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Newhook
Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
1
Newhook
Matthews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
58.3% (943)
-15.6%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
55.7% (61)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
50.7% (219)
+49.3%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Newhook is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Newhook shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Newhook
Matthews
Home
39.6% (278)
59.1% (528)
Away
46.1% (280)
55.1% (695)
By Period
Newhook
Matthews
P1
37.3%
56.2%
P2
42.9%
58.1%
P3
47.3%
56.4%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%