Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Matthews 53.2% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 77.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 78.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 82.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 79.0%
21.0%
79.0%
Newhook
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Newhook
Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Matthews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
1
Newhook
Matthews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Matthews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
53.4% (1,169)
-8.5%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
65.8% (76)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
41.9% (74)
-41.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +41.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Newhook is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Newhook shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Home / Away
Newhook
Matthews
Home
45.1% (246)
56.5% (703)
Away
48.0% (246)
50.0% (616)
By Period
Newhook
Matthews
P1
44.7%
52.1%
P2
49.7%
54.0%
P3
43.9%
54.0%
OT
66.7%
57.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |