Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.8% vs Matthews 52.2% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 53.9%
Defensive zone
Newhook 67.7%
Neutral zone
Newhook 55.6%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Newhook
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Newhook
Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
1
Newhook
Matthews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (464)
52.7% (1,015)
-10.9%
Power Play
35.9% (39)
34.6% (26)
+1.3%
On even strength, Matthews has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Newhook is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Newhook shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Newhook
Matthews
Home
42.4% (236)
54.8% (515)
Away
40.4% (267)
50.2% (534)
By Period
Newhook
Matthews
P1
42.9%
54.4%
P2
38.5%
50.4%
P3
43.2%
51.8%
Final 5 min
36.1%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.4%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |