Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 36.1% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 37.8% vs Matthews 55.8% (-21.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 57.8%
Defensive zone
Newhook 58.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 55.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Newhook
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Newhook
Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
1
Newhook
Matthews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (355)
56.3% (1,167)
-21.1%
Power Play
29.4% (34)
57.5% (40)
-28.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.0% (22)
-16.7%
On power play, Matthews has a +28.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Newhook is 36.1% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Newhook shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Home / Away
Newhook
Matthews
Home
38.1% (189)
60.7% (572)
Away
31.5% (203)
52.4% (657)
By Period
Newhook
Matthews
P1
33.9%
60.3%
P2
36.3%
55.6%
P3
33.8%
53.3%
Final 5 min
34.9%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
34.7%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |