Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.8% vs Nelson 47.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 54.5%
Defensive zone
Newhook 66.4%
Neutral zone
Nelson 57.2%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Newhook
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Newhook
Nelson
Last 6: Newhook 3-3 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Nelson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Nelson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
3
Newhook
Nelson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (464)
46.9% (915)
-5.1%
Power Play
35.9% (39)
57.4% (94)
-21.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Newhook is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Newhook shoots left. Nelson is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Newhook
Nelson
Home
42.4% (236)
48.9% (521)
Away
40.4% (267)
45.5% (516)
By Period
Newhook
Nelson
P1
42.9%
45.9%
P2
38.5%
48.0%
P3
43.2%
48.0%
Final 5 min
36.1%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.4%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:52 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |