Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 44.9% vs Nelson 50.6% (-8.8%)
Offensive zone
Newhook 61.2%
Defensive zone
Nelson 57.6%
Neutral zone
Nelson 56.6%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Newhook
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
50.7% (879)
-9.1%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
58.6% (162)
-38.6%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
43.4% (198)
+11.1%
On power play, Nelson has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Newhook is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Newhook shoots left. Nelson is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Home / Away
Newhook
Nelson
Home
44.1% (93)
52.3% (621)
Away
38.9% (72)
48.9% (618)
By Period
Newhook
Nelson
P1
36.0%
48.4%
P2
37.9%
53.5%
P3
52.1%
50.3%
OT
100.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
35.1%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
50.6%