Scouting Report
Alex Newhook holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Nelson 45.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 51.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 51.0%
Neutral zone
Nelson 53.5%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Newhook
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Newhook
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Nelson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
1
Newhook
Nelson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
1
Newhook
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
46.1% (735)
-1.2%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
34.5% (29)
+23.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
30.4% (23)
-30.4%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +30.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Newhook is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Newhook shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Newhook
Nelson
Home
45.1% (246)
48.7% (419)
Away
48.0% (246)
41.3% (368)
By Period
Newhook
Nelson
P1
44.7%
44.6%
P2
49.7%
47.3%
P3
43.9%
43.0%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 07:14 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 18:48 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |