Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Nelson 51.9% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nelson 58.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 84.5%
Neutral zone
Nelson 76.7%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Newhook
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Newhook
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
1
Newhook
Nelson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Nelson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
51.3% (1,002)
-8.6%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
58.7% (126)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.9% (81)
+48.1%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Newhook is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Newhook shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Newhook
Nelson
Home
39.6% (278)
52.5% (590)
Away
46.1% (280)
51.7% (619)
By Period
Newhook
Nelson
P1
37.3%
50.5%
P2
42.9%
54.4%
P3
47.3%
51.4%
OT
100.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
47.1%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |