Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +21.2% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 32.7% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 37.8% vs Ryan 54.9% (-21.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 64.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 74.5%
Neutral zone
Ryan 72.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Newhook
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Newhook
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Newhook
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (355)
60.2% (387)
-25.0%
Power Play
29.4% (34)
28.6% (7)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
43.2% (118)
-9.9%
On even strength, Ryan has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Newhook is 32.7% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Newhook shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Newhook
Ryan
Home
38.1% (189)
56.7% (254)
Away
31.5% (203)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Newhook
Ryan
P1
33.9%
56.9%
P2
36.3%
51.7%
P3
33.8%
59.2%
Final 5 min
34.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
34.7%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |