Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Ryan 54.6% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 72.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 88.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 79.0%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Newhook
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Newhook
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
60.8% (263)
-15.9%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
100.0% (1)
-42.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
46.2% (145)
-46.2%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Newhook is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Newhook shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Newhook
Ryan
Home
45.1% (246)
56.7% (201)
Away
48.0% (246)
54.8% (208)
By Period
Newhook
Ryan
P1
44.7%
56.7%
P2
49.7%
56.8%
P3
43.9%
53.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |