Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Ryan 57.4% (-17.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 76.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 78.7%
Neutral zone
Newhook 50.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Newhook
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Newhook
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Newhook
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
61.4% (220)
-18.7%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
100.0% (1)
-56.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
51.7% (29)
+48.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Newhook is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Newhook shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Newhook
Ryan
Home
39.6% (278)
64.2% (137)
Away
46.1% (280)
55.8% (113)
By Period
Newhook
Ryan
P1
37.3%
58.9%
P2
42.9%
62.8%
P3
47.3%
59.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |