Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Newhook wins 39.6% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.1% vs Ryan 55.2% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Newhook leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 57.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 88.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 88.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Newhook
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Newhook
Ryan
Last 10: Newhook 6-4 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
6
0
Newhook
Ryan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
4
Newhook
Ryan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (1,922)
56.6% (4,102)
-15.1%
Power Play
43.8% (208)
53.2% (342)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
47.8% (649)
-0.7%
On even strength, Ryan has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Newhook is 39.6% vs right-shot opponents (836).
Newhook shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Newhook
Ryan
Home
41.6% (1,061)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
42.0% (1,086)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Newhook
Ryan
P1
39.9%
55.1%
P2
41.9%
54.7%
P3
43.1%
56.0%
OT
80.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |