Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 36.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 37.8% vs Paul 50.4% (-15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 80.3%
Defensive zone
Newhook 62.4%
Neutral zone
Newhook 66.5%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Newhook
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Newhook
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Newhook
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Newhook
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (355)
53.0% (644)
-17.8%
Power Play
29.4% (34)
37.5% (24)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
42.9% (177)
-9.6%
On even strength, Paul has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Newhook is 36.1% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Newhook shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Newhook
Paul
Home
38.1% (189)
52.5% (516)
Away
31.5% (203)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Newhook
Paul
P1
33.9%
47.6%
P2
36.3%
48.4%
P3
33.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
34.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
34.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nick Paul |