Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Paul 50.0% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 75.4%
Defensive zone
Paul 63.9%
Neutral zone
Newhook 56.5%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Newhook
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Newhook
Paul
Last 5: Newhook 2-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Newhook
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
48.8% (666)
-6.1%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
53.8% (65)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
60.0% (55)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Newhook is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Newhook shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Newhook
Paul
Home
39.6% (278)
49.7% (348)
Away
46.1% (280)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Newhook
Paul
P1
37.3%
51.0%
P2
42.9%
47.4%
P3
47.3%
51.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:36 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Nick Paul |