Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 44.9% vs Paul 53.3% (-12.3%)
Offensive zone
Newhook 51.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 56.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 54.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Newhook
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
53.2% (327)
-11.6%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
61.4% (57)
-41.4%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
50.0% (32)
+4.5%
On power play, Paul has a +41.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Newhook is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Newhook shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Newhook
Paul
Home
44.1% (93)
54.6% (183)
Away
38.9% (72)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Newhook
Paul
P1
36.0%
56.3%
P2
37.9%
54.8%
P3
52.1%
52.4%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
35.1%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%