Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Paul 53.9% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 72.5%
Defensive zone
Newhook 73.4%
Neutral zone
Newhook 74.8%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Newhook
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Newhook
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Newhook
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Newhook
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Newhook
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
53.1% (710)
-8.2%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
57.3% (199)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
58.0% (69)
-58.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +58.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Newhook is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Newhook shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Newhook
Paul
Home
45.1% (246)
56.0% (466)
Away
48.0% (246)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Newhook
Paul
P1
44.7%
57.2%
P2
49.7%
54.9%
P3
43.9%
51.5%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Nick Paul |