Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 36.1% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 37.8% vs Poehling 47.0% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 55.6%
Defensive zone
Newhook 58.3%
Neutral zone
Newhook 51.6%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Newhook
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Newhook
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Newhook
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
35.2% (355)
45.1% (437)
-9.9%
Power Play
29.4% (34)
56.4% (39)
-27.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
61.5% (13)
-28.2%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Newhook is 36.1% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Newhook shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Newhook
Poehling
Home
38.1% (189)
46.6% (232)
Away
31.5% (203)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Newhook
Poehling
P1
33.9%
43.9%
P2
36.3%
49.1%
P3
33.8%
46.4%
Final 5 min
34.9%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
34.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |