Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 47.1% vs Poehling 49.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 82.3%
Defensive zone
Newhook 57.6%
Neutral zone
Newhook 66.2%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Newhook
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Newhook
Poehling
Last 8: Newhook 2-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
3
Newhook
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Newhook
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (419)
50.4% (752)
-5.5%
Power Play
57.7% (71)
37.0% (27)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
45.3% (159)
-45.3%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Newhook is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Newhook shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Newhook
Poehling
Home
45.1% (246)
51.2% (467)
Away
48.0% (246)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Newhook
Poehling
P1
44.7%
54.6%
P2
49.7%
46.7%
P3
43.9%
46.7%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
46.5%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 12:56 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |