Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 44.9% vs Poehling 47.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 81.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 68.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 52.6%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Newhook
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Newhook
Poehling
Last 5: Newhook 2-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Newhook
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Newhook
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
49.8% (626)
-8.2%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
58.3% (12)
-38.3%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
38.2% (207)
+16.3%
On power play, Poehling has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Newhook is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Newhook shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Newhook
Poehling
Home
44.1% (93)
47.3% (404)
Away
38.9% (72)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Newhook
Poehling
P1
36.0%
53.5%
P2
37.9%
39.4%
P3
52.1%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
35.1%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |