Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Newhook on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Newhook wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Poehling 50.8% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 70.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 90.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 70.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Newhook
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Newhook
Poehling
Last 7: Newhook 4-3 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
3
0
Newhook
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
3
Newhook
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
52.6% (622)
-9.9%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
58.3% (12)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
39.8% (103)
+60.2%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +60.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Newhook is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Newhook shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Newhook
Poehling
Home
39.6% (278)
53.2% (393)
Away
46.1% (280)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Newhook
Poehling
P1
37.3%
50.9%
P2
42.9%
56.2%
P3
47.3%
46.1%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Oct 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |