Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lorentz on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Newhook wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 42.8% vs Lorentz 48.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Newhook 76.8%
Defensive zone
Newhook 61.9%
Neutral zone
Newhook 63.0%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Newhook
Lorentz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Newhook
Lorentz
Last 9: Newhook 3-6 Lorentz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Lorentz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lorentz
1
4
Newhook
Lorentz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Newhook
Lorentz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (464)
48.3% (497)
-6.5%
Power Play
35.9% (39)
63.6% (11)
-27.7%
On power play, Lorentz has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Newhook is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Newhook shoots left. Lorentz is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Newhook
Lorentz
Home
42.4% (236)
50.4% (238)
Away
40.4% (267)
46.0% (309)
By Period
Newhook
Lorentz
P1
42.9%
49.1%
P2
38.5%
48.0%
P3
43.2%
47.2%
Final 5 min
36.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.4%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:41 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Steven Lorentz |