Scouting Report
Alex Newhook holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Lorentz 46.6% (+6.4%)
Offensive zone
Newhook 69.0%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 69.8%
Neutral zone
Newhook 54.9%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Newhook
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
30.8% (26)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
57.1% (7)
+42.9%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Newhook is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Newhook shoots left. Lorentz is 36.8% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Newhook
Lorentz
Home
39.6% (278)
35.0% (20)
Away
46.1% (280)
38.5% (13)
By Period
Newhook
Lorentz
P1
37.3%
38.5%
P2
42.9%
37.5%
P3
47.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
36.4%