Scouting Report
Steven Lorentz holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 44.9% vs Lorentz 50.0% (-8.2%)
Offensive zone
Newhook 75.4%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 55.7%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 56.1%
Result
Alex Newhook favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Newhook
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
52.2% (67)
-10.6%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
50.0% (2)
-30.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
42.9% (21)
+11.6%
On power play, Lorentz has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Newhook is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Newhook shoots left. Lorentz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Home / Away
Newhook
Lorentz
Home
44.1% (93)
55.4% (65)
Away
38.9% (72)
36.0% (25)
By Period
Newhook
Lorentz
P1
36.0%
59.3%
P2
37.9%
47.1%
P3
52.1%
44.8%
Final 5 min
35.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
41.8%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%